Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.616653 0.707556 0.806507 0.922122 1.053407 1.197759 1.368418
2025-01-05 0.460873 0.579035 0.718889 0.896241 1.114764 1.374805 1.707325
2025-01-12 0.363274 0.496294 0.666318 0.898654 1.206872 1.600619 2.140580
2025-01-19 0.280895 0.415253 0.599820 0.870198 1.254222 1.777805 2.543091
2025-01-26 0.236636 0.376127 0.580805 0.900218 1.382732 2.080148 3.159173
2025-02-02 0.205180 0.348824 0.572834 0.943337 1.535428 2.437798 3.907519
2025-02-09 0.172920 0.313417 0.545539 0.951081 1.634274 2.728210 4.596936
2025-02-16 0.145739 0.280682 0.516122 0.949195 1.715643 3.000566 5.294608
2025-02-23 0.124421 0.253795 0.491420 0.950156 1.800265 3.287580 6.053699
2025-03-02 0.106708 0.229928 0.467586 0.947860 1.877330 3.569897 6.840252
2025-03-09 0.094192 0.213705 0.455019 0.963967 1.989454 3.927363 7.806029
2025-03-16 0.081409 0.194272 0.432577 0.956486 2.054121 4.203796 8.654442
2025-03-23 0.072742 0.182340 0.424009 0.977074 2.180149 4.618436 9.832686
2025-03-30 0.062779 0.165371 0.401679 0.964661 2.236077 4.902126 10.789300
2025-04-06 0.056010 0.154648 0.391406 0.977230 2.347560 5.313934 12.063054
2025-04-13 0.048002 0.139047 0.366931 0.952833 2.372813 5.546579 12.987225
2025-04-20 0.044427 0.134367 0.368092 0.989951 2.545401 6.122028 14.732477
2025-04-27 0.041823 0.131803 0.374136 1.040180 2.756590 6.810299 16.815614
2025-05-04 0.037729 0.124061 0.365273 1.050696 2.871753 7.291484 18.480354
2025-05-11 0.033706 0.115614 0.352953 1.049950 2.958238 7.715367 20.061348
2025-05-18 0.030282 0.108239 0.342277 1.051884 3.051946 8.168228 21.767413
2025-05-25 0.027152 0.101083 0.330909 1.049930 3.134936 8.604516 23.484928
2025-06-01 0.024962 0.096580 0.326669 1.068068 3.276085 9.206537 25.695283